Scouting Report
Quinton Byfield holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hughes on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Hughes wins 34.9% vs left-shot opponents — Byfield shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 36.6% vs Byfield 44.9% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 75.3%
Defensive zone
Byfield 68.2%
Neutral zone
Hughes 56.1%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 64.1%
64.1%
35.9%
Hughes
Byfield
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Hughes
Byfield
Last 9: Hughes 4-5 Byfield
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
3
2
Hughes
Byfield
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Byfield
0
1
Hughes
Byfield
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Byfield
1
2
Hughes
Byfield
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Byfield
Edge
Even Strength
36.0% (2,887)
45.3% (2,107)
-9.3%
Power Play
38.8% (224)
47.3% (112)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (42)
37.3% (225)
-6.3%
On even strength, Byfield has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Byfield shoots left. Hughes is 34.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,931).
Hughes shoots left. Byfield is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,627).
Home / Away
Hughes
Byfield
Home
36.8% (1,670)
45.2% (1,163)
Away
35.4% (1,483)
44.1% (1,281)
By Period
Hughes
Byfield
P1
36.9%
45.0%
P2
33.6%
43.7%
P3
38.1%
45.5%
OT
37.5%
41.5%
Final 5 min
34.2%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.1%
Byfield
66.0%▲
56.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 13:42 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 11:43 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 00:24 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 07:32 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 11:58 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Jan 1, 2025 | 2 | 10:35 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 14:25 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 08:51 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Jan 23, 2022 | 3 | 10:48 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |