Scouting Report
Ryan Hartman holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Hughes on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Hughes wins 41.4% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 40.3% vs Hartman 47.3% (-9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 57.4%
Defensive zone
Hartman 92.3%
Neutral zone
Hartman 82.5%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 69.0%
31.0%
69.0%
Hughes
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Hughes
Hartman
Last 6: Hughes 4-2 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
4
0
Hughes
Hartman
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
2
Hughes
Hartman
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
35.6% (281)
47.1% (649)
-11.5%
Power Play
50.0% (36)
47.1% (68)
+2.9%
On even strength, Hartman has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Hughes is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (111).
Hughes shoots left. Hartman is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (608).
Home / Away
Hughes
Hartman
Home
38.4% (198)
46.5% (361)
Away
35.3% (119)
47.3% (429)
By Period
Hughes
Hartman
P1
44.3%
45.1%
P2
34.2%
44.4%
P3
34.0%
50.9%
Final 5 min
40.4%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.2%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 14:52 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 15:07 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 04:37 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 01:16 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 2 | 00:33 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 1 | 00:15 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |