Scouting Report
Ryan Hartman holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hughes on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Hughes wins 38.1% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 36.5% vs Hartman 45.0% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 57.3%
Defensive zone
Hartman 72.0%
Neutral zone
Hartman 78.8%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 62.8%
37.2%
62.8%
Hughes
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Hughes
Hartman
Last 8: Hughes 5-3 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
5
0
Hughes
Hartman
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
3
Hughes
Hartman
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
35.9% (2,772)
44.8% (4,023)
-8.9%
Power Play
39.0% (223)
47.1% (412)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (42)
42.5% (261)
-11.5%
On penalty kill, Hartman has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Hughes is 38.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,179).
Hughes shoots left. Hartman is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,420).
Home / Away
Hughes
Hartman
Home
36.7% (1,596)
46.3% (2,446)
Away
35.3% (1,441)
43.4% (2,250)
By Period
Hughes
Hartman
P1
36.3%
45.2%
P2
33.7%
43.2%
P3
38.3%
46.2%
OT
37.5%
56.5%
Final 5 min
34.4%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
34.0%▼
36.5%
36.0%
Hartman
44.0%▲
41.5%
44.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 14:52 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 15:07 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 04:37 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 01:16 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 2 | 00:33 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 1 | 00:15 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 26, 2019 | 2 | 13:54 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 26, 2019 | 2 | 05:33 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |