Jack Hughes vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 33.9% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.8% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.6% (-11.9%)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 51.7%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 68.1%
Neutral zone
Hughes 51.8%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 56.0%
44.0%
56.0%
Hughes
Nugent-Hopkins
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
36.8% (266)
47.6% (231)
-10.8%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
83.3% (12)
-69.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
33.3% (21)
+0.0%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +69.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Hughes is 33.9% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Hughes shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Hughes
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
35.1% (148)
51.2% (164)
Away
37.4% (131)
43.0% (100)
By Period
Hughes
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
43.0%
50.0%
P2
28.7%
46.2%
P3
35.2%
49.5%
Final 5 min
28.6%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.2%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.1%