Jack Hughes vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Hughes on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Hughes wins 34.7% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 36.5% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.7% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 61.3%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 89.7%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 80.5%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 73.2%
26.8%
73.2%
Hughes
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Hughes
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 8: Hughes 5-3 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
3
1
Hughes
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hughes
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Hughes
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
35.9% (2,772)
44.9% (8,714)
-9.0%
Power Play
39.0% (223)
50.3% (829)
-11.3%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (42)
37.8% (875)
-6.8%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Hughes is 34.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,858).
Hughes shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (6,805).
Home / Away
Hughes
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
36.7% (1,596)
46.4% (5,318)
Away
35.3% (1,441)
42.9% (5,112)
By Period
Hughes
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
36.3%
45.1%
P2
33.7%
43.8%
P3
38.3%
45.2%
OT
37.5%
43.5%
Final 5 min
34.4%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
34.0%▼
36.5%
36.0%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2024 | 2 | 12:56 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 4, 2024 | 2 | 07:30 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 4, 2024 | 1 | 09:16 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 8, 2019 | 2 | 16:51 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 8, 2019 | 2 | 06:18 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 8, 2019 | 1 | 02:26 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 3 | 07:00 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 1 | 12:11 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |