Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hughes on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hughes wins 35.0% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 40.3% vs Poehling 49.2% (-11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 68.7%
Defensive zone
Poehling 90.1%
Neutral zone
Poehling 77.1%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 61.2%
38.8%
61.2%
Hughes
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Hughes
Poehling
Last 7: Hughes 4-3 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
3
0
Hughes
Poehling
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
2
Hughes
Poehling
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Hughes
Poehling
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
35.6% (281)
50.4% (752)
-14.8%
Power Play
50.0% (36)
37.0% (27)
+13.0%
On even strength, Poehling has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Hughes is 35.0% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Hughes shoots left. Poehling is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (655).
Home / Away
Hughes
Poehling
Home
38.4% (198)
51.2% (467)
Away
35.3% (119)
47.1% (471)
By Period
Hughes
Poehling
P1
44.3%
54.6%
P2
34.2%
46.7%
P3
34.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
40.4%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.2%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2023 | 2 | 08:47 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 1 | 15:25 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 19:29 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 02:08 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 19:18 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 11:49 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 06:45 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |