Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Poehling on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hughes wins 33.9% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.8% vs Poehling 47.4% (-10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 86.5%
Defensive zone
Poehling 69.4%
Neutral zone
Hughes 62.7%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Hughes
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Hughes
Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
Hughes
Poehling
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
2
Hughes
Poehling
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
36.8% (266)
49.8% (626)
-13.0%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
58.3% (12)
-44.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
38.2% (207)
-4.9%
On power play, Poehling has a +44.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Hughes is 33.9% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Hughes shoots left. Poehling is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Home / Away
Hughes
Poehling
Home
35.1% (148)
47.3% (404)
Away
37.4% (131)
46.9% (441)
By Period
Hughes
Poehling
P1
43.0%
53.5%
P2
28.7%
39.4%
P3
35.2%
49.1%
Final 5 min
28.6%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.2%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 13:00 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 04:17 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 04:13 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 01:01 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |