Scouting Report
Sam Lafferty holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hughes on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Hughes wins 38.1% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 36.6% vs Lafferty 47.6% (-11.3%)
H2H factor
Hughes leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Hughes 62.5%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 85.0%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 85.6%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 65.6%
34.4%
65.6%
Hughes
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
7
(17 meetings)
10
7
Hughes
Lafferty
Last 10: Hughes 5-5 Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
7
0
Hughes
Lafferty
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lafferty
1
4
Hughes
Lafferty
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lafferty
2
3
Hughes
Lafferty
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
36.0% (2,887)
48.0% (1,413)
-12.0%
Power Play
38.8% (224)
45.7% (46)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (42)
43.5% (184)
-12.5%
On penalty kill, Lafferty has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Hughes is 38.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,222).
Hughes shoots left. Lafferty is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,248).
Home / Away
Hughes
Lafferty
Home
36.8% (1,670)
47.3% (833)
Away
35.4% (1,483)
47.5% (810)
By Period
Hughes
Lafferty
P1
36.9%
49.4%
P2
33.6%
43.1%
P3
38.1%
49.8%
OT
37.5%
60.0%
Final 5 min
34.2%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.1%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 15:12 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 15:02 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 05:33 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 05:28 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 03:07 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 3 | 08:36 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 3 | 06:22 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 2 | 17:43 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 2 | 15:39 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 21, 2021 | 3 | 15:30 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 21, 2021 | 3 | 08:17 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 21, 2021 | 3 | 04:57 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Mar 21, 2021 | 3 | 00:38 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 14:25 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 2 | 13:46 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 22, 2019 | 2 | 16:33 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 15, 2019 | 1 | 15:06 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |