Scouting Report
Sam Reinhart holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 40.3% vs Reinhart 43.4% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reinhart 60.4%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 61.8%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 54.1%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 60.4%
39.6%
60.4%
Hughes
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Hughes
Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
1
0
Hughes
Reinhart
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
35.1% (151)
38.9% (72)
-3.8%
Power Play
16.7% (6)
35.7% (42)
-19.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
42.9% (21)
-9.6%
On power play, Reinhart has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Hughes is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (47).
Hughes shoots left. Reinhart is 33.9% vs left-shot opponents (109).
Home / Away
Hughes
Reinhart
Home
32.4% (74)
34.7% (75)
Away
36.0% (89)
43.3% (60)
By Period
Hughes
Reinhart
P1
38.8%
43.9%
P2
27.6%
32.6%
P3
36.8%
39.6%
Final 5 min
29.6%
30.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
34.0%▼
36.5%
34.4%
Reinhart
46.0%▲
41.0%
38.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 01:01 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |