Scouting Report
Sam Reinhart holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Reinhart on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Hughes wins 38.1% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 36.6% vs Reinhart 43.3% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Reinhart leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Hughes 71.6%
Defensive zone
Hughes 66.8%
Neutral zone
Hughes 51.4%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 62.4%
62.4%
37.6%
Hughes
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Hughes
Reinhart
Last 10: Hughes 4-6 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
2
0
Hughes
Reinhart
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
1
5
Hughes
Reinhart
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Hughes
Reinhart
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
36.0% (2,887)
42.5% (2,173)
-6.5%
Power Play
38.8% (224)
46.5% (525)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (42)
41.3% (339)
-10.3%
On penalty kill, Reinhart has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Hughes is 38.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,222).
Hughes shoots left. Reinhart is 41.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,283).
Home / Away
Hughes
Reinhart
Home
36.8% (1,670)
44.9% (1,528)
Away
35.4% (1,483)
41.2% (1,509)
By Period
Hughes
Reinhart
P1
36.9%
44.5%
P2
33.6%
40.5%
P3
38.1%
44.5%
OT
37.5%
43.5%
Final 5 min
34.2%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.1%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 01:01 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 00:22 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 2 | 19:39 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 2 | 06:02 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 1 | 14:28 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 03:38 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 1 | 12:08 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 2 | 06:58 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 1 | 15:50 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 1 | 03:47 | Neutral | Sam Reinhart |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 3 | 19:09 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 1 | 05:27 | Neutral | Sam Reinhart |