Scouting Report
Sam Reinhart holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 41.4% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 40.3% vs Reinhart 45.1% (-7.0%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 74.5%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 82.0%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 55.4%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Hughes
Reinhart
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
35.6% (281)
44.6% (345)
-9.0%
Power Play
50.0% (36)
43.3% (97)
+6.7%
On even strength, Reinhart has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Hughes is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (111).
Hughes shoots left. Reinhart is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Home / Away
Hughes
Reinhart
Home
38.4% (198)
47.9% (267)
Away
35.3% (119)
40.3% (263)
By Period
Hughes
Reinhart
P1
44.3%
45.6%
P2
34.2%
42.0%
P3
34.0%
45.4%
Final 5 min
40.4%
40.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.2%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
44.2%