Scouting Report
Sam Reinhart holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Reinhart on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hughes wins 39.5% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 37.4% vs Reinhart 46.8% (-10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 52.7%
Defensive zone
Hughes 54.2%
Neutral zone
Hughes 51.1%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Hughes
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Hughes
Reinhart
Last 5: Hughes 2-3 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hughes
Reinhart
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Reinhart
1
2
Hughes
Reinhart
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
35.7% (569)
44.4% (234)
-8.7%
Power Play
33.3% (36)
55.3% (38)
-22.0%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
25.0% (4)
-8.3%
On power play, Reinhart has a +22.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Hughes is 39.5% vs right-shot opponents (306).
Hughes shoots left. Reinhart is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (152).
Home / Away
Hughes
Reinhart
Home
37.8% (333)
44.9% (158)
Away
32.4% (278)
46.6% (118)
By Period
Hughes
Reinhart
P1
38.8%
43.0%
P2
28.3%
46.7%
P3
38.6%
46.3%
OT
42.9%
100.0%
Final 5 min
31.7%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
35.4%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2021 | 2 | 06:58 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 1 | 15:50 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 1 | 03:47 | Neutral | Sam Reinhart |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 3 | 19:09 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 1 | 05:27 | Neutral | Sam Reinhart |