Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +16.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on defensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Hughes wins 34.9% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 36.6% vs Couturier 52.6% (-16.5%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 17-8 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Hughes 94.8%
Defensive zone
Hughes 83.3%
Neutral zone
Hughes 94.8%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 90.7%
90.7%
9.3%
Hughes
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
17
(25 meetings)
8
17
Hughes
Couturier
Last 10: Hughes 3-7 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
6
2
Hughes
Couturier
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
8
Hughes
Couturier
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
7
Hughes
Couturier
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
36.0% (2,887)
52.5% (11,063)
-16.5%
Power Play
38.8% (224)
59.7% (1,280)
-20.9%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (42)
48.5% (1,816)
-17.5%
On power play, Couturier has a +20.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Hughes is 34.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,931).
Hughes shoots left. Couturier is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (8,920).
Home / Away
Hughes
Couturier
Home
36.8% (1,670)
53.4% (7,147)
Away
35.4% (1,483)
51.8% (7,019)
By Period
Hughes
Couturier
P1
36.9%
52.5%
P2
33.6%
52.6%
P3
38.1%
52.9%
OT
37.5%
49.4%
Final 5 min
34.2%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.1%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2025 | 3 | 13:04 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 3 | 12:56 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 3 | 03:55 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 2 | 13:59 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 2 | 13:43 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 1 | 15:52 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 03:36 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 2 | 18:52 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 2 | 03:49 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 1 | 13:28 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 04:56 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 03:30 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 03:10 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 1 | 13:56 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 8, 2021 | 3 | 07:40 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 8, 2021 | 2 | 04:13 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 8, 2021 | 2 | 04:06 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 8, 2021 | 1 | 00:37 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 01:01 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 2 | 14:15 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |