Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +16.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on neutral-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings). Hughes wins 34.8% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 36.4% vs Couturier 52.7% (-16.7%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 21-8 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Hughes 97.0%
Defensive zone
Hughes 91.1%
Neutral zone
Hughes 97.1%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 95.2%
95.2%
4.8%
Hughes
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
21
(29 meetings)
8
21
Hughes
Couturier
Last 10: Hughes 0-10 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
6
4
Hughes
Couturier
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
8
Hughes
Couturier
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
9
Hughes
Couturier
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
35.8% (3,022)
52.5% (11,150)
-16.7%
Power Play
38.5% (226)
59.7% (1,282)
-21.2%
Penalty Kill
32.6% (43)
48.6% (1,838)
-16.0%
On power play, Couturier has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Hughes is 34.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,992).
Hughes shoots left. Couturier is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (8,981).
Home / Away
Hughes
Couturier
Home
36.8% (1,736)
53.4% (7,192)
Away
35.0% (1,555)
51.9% (7,085)
By Period
Hughes
Couturier
P1
36.6%
52.5%
P2
33.2%
52.7%
P3
38.3%
52.9%
OT
37.5%
49.4%
Final 5 min
33.8%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
26.0%▼
34.0%
36.0%
Couturier
58.0%▬
58.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2026 | 2 | 17:49 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Apr 7, 2026 | 2 | 10:51 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Apr 7, 2026 | 2 | 10:39 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Apr 7, 2026 | 2 | 07:22 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 3 | 13:04 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 3 | 12:56 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 3 | 03:55 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 2 | 13:59 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 2 | 13:43 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 1 | 15:52 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 03:36 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 2 | 18:52 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 2 | 03:49 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 1 | 13:28 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 04:56 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 03:30 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 03:10 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 1 | 13:56 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 8, 2021 | 3 | 07:40 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 8, 2021 | 2 | 04:13 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |