Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +16.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hughes on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Hughes wins 35.0% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 40.3% vs Couturier 53.2% (-16.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 64.7%
Defensive zone
Couturier 92.6%
Neutral zone
Couturier 91.7%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 72.5%
27.5%
72.5%
Hughes
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Hughes
Couturier
Last 7: Hughes 5-2 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
4
1
Hughes
Couturier
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
1
0
Hughes
Couturier
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
Hughes
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
35.6% (281)
53.8% (1,003)
-18.2%
Power Play
50.0% (36)
56.4% (202)
-6.4%
On even strength, Couturier has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Hughes is 35.0% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Hughes shoots left. Couturier is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (823).
Home / Away
Hughes
Couturier
Home
38.4% (198)
54.4% (680)
Away
35.3% (119)
52.4% (614)
By Period
Hughes
Couturier
P1
44.3%
56.3%
P2
34.2%
51.8%
P3
34.0%
52.2%
Final 5 min
40.4%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.2%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 03:36 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 2 | 18:52 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 2 | 03:49 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 1 | 13:28 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 04:56 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 03:30 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 03:10 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |