Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +21.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hughes wins 31.1% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 37.4% vs Couturier 56.1% (-21.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 66.5%
Defensive zone
Couturier 53.1%
Neutral zone
Hughes 63.2%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 56.2%
56.2%
43.8%
Hughes
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Hughes
Couturier
Last 6: Hughes 2-4 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hughes
Couturier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
3
Hughes
Couturier
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hughes
1
0
Hughes
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
35.7% (569)
55.6% (532)
-19.9%
Power Play
33.3% (36)
66.1% (112)
-32.8%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
53.8% (106)
-37.1%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +37.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Hughes is 31.1% vs left-shot opponents (305).
Hughes shoots left. Couturier is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (338).
Home / Away
Hughes
Couturier
Home
37.8% (333)
63.3% (357)
Away
32.4% (278)
51.1% (393)
By Period
Hughes
Couturier
P1
38.8%
57.0%
P2
28.3%
55.3%
P3
38.6%
60.0%
OT
42.9%
37.5%
Final 5 min
31.7%
62.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
35.4%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 01:01 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 2 | 14:15 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 2 | 05:54 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 2 | 02:37 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 1 | 09:05 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 23, 2021 | 3 | 16:26 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |