Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +16.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Pinto on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Hughes wins 35.2% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 37.9% vs Pinto 51.9% (-16.8%)
H2H factor
Pinto leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Hughes 70.4%
Defensive zone
Pinto 77.2%
Neutral zone
Hughes 55.8%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Hughes
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
8
(14 meetings)
6
8
Hughes
Pinto
Last 10: Hughes 4-6 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
5
1
Hughes
Pinto
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
5
Hughes
Pinto
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pinto
1
2
Hughes
Pinto
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
34.9% (444)
52.5% (825)
-17.6%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
40.0% (10)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
44.4% (27)
-11.1%
On even strength, Pinto has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Hughes is 35.2% vs right-shot opponents (179).
Hughes shoots left. Pinto is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (600).
Home / Away
Hughes
Pinto
Home
37.4% (235)
52.8% (453)
Away
33.2% (229)
51.3% (409)
By Period
Hughes
Pinto
P1
37.1%
49.0%
P2
33.7%
53.5%
P3
34.8%
53.7%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
32.7%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
35.3%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 15:06 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 13:58 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 13:32 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 03:07 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 03:00 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 19:20 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 19:14 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 14:13 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 12:10 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 11:48 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 05:23 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 03:14 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 07:10 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Nov 10, 2022 | OT | 04:02 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |