Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +14.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Pinto on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings). Hughes wins 38.1% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 36.6% vs Pinto 50.3% (-14.2%)
H2H factor
Pinto leads 12-7 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Hughes 88.9%
Defensive zone
Hughes 73.8%
Neutral zone
Hughes 81.7%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 80.6%
80.6%
19.4%
Hughes
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
12
(19 meetings)
7
12
Hughes
Pinto
Last 10: Hughes 4-6 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
6
1
Hughes
Pinto
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
9
Hughes
Pinto
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pinto
1
2
Hughes
Pinto
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
36.0% (2,887)
50.6% (2,716)
-14.6%
Power Play
38.8% (224)
54.4% (90)
-15.6%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (42)
44.9% (234)
-13.9%
On power play, Pinto has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Hughes is 38.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,222).
Hughes shoots left. Pinto is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,185).
Home / Away
Hughes
Pinto
Home
36.8% (1,670)
50.9% (1,501)
Away
35.4% (1,483)
49.6% (1,539)
By Period
Hughes
Pinto
P1
36.9%
48.3%
P2
33.6%
51.7%
P3
38.1%
50.9%
OT
37.5%
46.7%
Final 5 min
34.2%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.1%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2025 | 3 | 13:26 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 19, 2025 | 3 | 07:39 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 19, 2025 | 3 | 07:32 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 19, 2025 | 2 | 11:45 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 19, 2025 | 1 | 06:42 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 15:06 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 13:58 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 13:32 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 03:07 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 03:00 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 19:20 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 19:14 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 14:13 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 12:10 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 11:48 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 05:23 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 03:14 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 07:10 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Nov 10, 2022 | OT | 04:02 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |