Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +16.1% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 37.8% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 38.6% vs Trocheck 51.9% (-16.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 77.2%
Defensive zone
Hughes 65.9%
Neutral zone
Hughes 78.1%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 72.9%
72.9%
27.1%
Hughes
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Hughes
Trocheck
Last 5: Hughes 1-4 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
2
Hughes
Trocheck
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
2
Hughes
Trocheck
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hughes
1
0
Hughes
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
35.6% (362)
51.6% (697)
-16.0%
Power Play
38.5% (91)
55.1% (98)
-16.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (9)
54.1% (37)
-20.8%
On penalty kill, Trocheck has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Hughes is 37.8% vs right-shot opponents (185).
Hughes shoots left. Trocheck is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (645).
Home / Away
Hughes
Trocheck
Home
37.6% (255)
56.8% (400)
Away
34.3% (207)
47.9% (432)
By Period
Hughes
Trocheck
P1
28.5%
49.1%
P2
39.2%
53.5%
P3
40.8%
54.5%
OT
50.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
39.3%
58.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.1%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2020 | 3 | 12:32 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 2 | 10:21 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 2 | 00:26 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 1 | 11:12 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 1 | 00:38 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |