Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +20.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hughes wins 35.2% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 37.9% vs Trocheck 55.6% (-20.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 81.1%
Defensive zone
Hughes 62.8%
Neutral zone
Hughes 83.9%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 71.2%
71.2%
28.8%
Hughes
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Hughes
Trocheck
Last 5: Hughes 1-4 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
3
Hughes
Trocheck
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Hughes
Trocheck
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
34.9% (444)
55.0% (956)
-20.1%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
59.8% (266)
-9.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
56.3% (64)
-23.0%
On penalty kill, Trocheck has a +23.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Hughes is 35.2% vs right-shot opponents (179).
Hughes shoots left. Trocheck is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Home / Away
Hughes
Trocheck
Home
37.4% (235)
57.7% (673)
Away
33.2% (229)
54.3% (613)
By Period
Hughes
Trocheck
P1
37.1%
55.4%
P2
33.7%
55.6%
P3
34.8%
56.4%
OT
100.0%
83.3%
Final 5 min
32.7%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
35.3%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2023 | 3 | 10:39 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 3 | 03:44 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 3 | 03:37 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 1 | 06:38 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 2 | 16:55 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |