Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +21.7% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 37.0% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.2% vs Trocheck 58.8% (-21.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 80.7%
Defensive zone
Hughes 70.6%
Neutral zone
Hughes 76.4%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 75.9%
75.9%
24.1%
Hughes
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Hughes
Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
Hughes
Trocheck
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
Hughes
Trocheck
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
Hughes
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (623)
59.6% (1,032)
-21.7%
Power Play
33.3% (33)
62.1% (253)
-28.8%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (11)
55.4% (249)
-19.0%
On power play, Trocheck has a +28.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Hughes is 37.0% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Hughes shoots left. Trocheck is 59.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,143).
Home / Away
Hughes
Trocheck
Home
36.6% (314)
61.7% (786)
Away
38.5% (353)
56.8% (748)
By Period
Hughes
Trocheck
P1
36.4%
61.7%
P2
35.6%
58.8%
P3
41.8%
57.6%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
36.4%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.6%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2025 | 1 | 00:21 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 19:08 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 2, 2024 | 1 | 04:06 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |