Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. McBain wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 44.7% vs Eller 53.3% (-9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 80.2%
Defensive zone
Eller 76.0%
Neutral zone
Eller 73.9%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 77.0%
23.0%
77.0%
McBain
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
McBain
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
1
0
McBain
Eller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
1
0
McBain
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (675)
53.8% (865)
-8.5%
Power Play
50.0% (16)
57.1% (21)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
37.6% (149)
52.6% (137)
-15.0%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. McBain is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (502).
McBain shoots left. Eller is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (682).
Home / Away
McBain
Eller
Home
45.5% (437)
56.4% (486)
Away
42.4% (403)
51.2% (537)
By Period
McBain
Eller
P1
43.5%
55.1%
P2
44.0%
55.3%
P3
45.0%
51.7%
OT
33.3%
27.3%
Final 5 min
43.6%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
44.0%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2023 | 1 | 18:57 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 16:19 | Offensive | Jack McBain |