Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 49.9% vs Eller 51.9% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 62.6%
Defensive zone
McBain 51.4%
Neutral zone
Eller 53.9%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
McBain
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
McBain
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
McBain
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (424)
52.8% (650)
-1.6%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
69.2% (13)
-23.0%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (22)
45.5% (88)
-18.2%
On power play, Eller has a +23.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. McBain is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (316).
McBain shoots left. Eller is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Home / Away
McBain
Eller
Home
53.6% (235)
52.6% (340)
Away
46.0% (224)
51.8% (411)
By Period
McBain
Eller
P1
48.6%
52.4%
P2
50.9%
54.1%
P3
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.1%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
49.9%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2025 | 3 | 09:19 | Defensive | Lars Eller |