Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. McBain wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 50.9% vs Scheifele 47.2% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 56.3%
Defensive zone
McBain 82.4%
Neutral zone
McBain 69.0%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 56.3%
56.3%
43.7%
McBain
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
McBain
Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
1
0
McBain
Scheifele
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
1
0
McBain
Scheifele
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (545)
46.5% (878)
+5.6%
Power Play
57.1% (14)
48.3% (174)
+8.8%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (46)
50.0% (54)
-13.0%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. McBain is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (256).
McBain shoots left. Scheifele is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Home / Away
McBain
Scheifele
Home
52.2% (289)
46.2% (571)
Away
50.0% (316)
47.7% (535)
By Period
McBain
Scheifele
P1
52.6%
51.9%
P2
53.6%
45.6%
P3
47.1%
43.9%
OT
50.0%
27.3%
Final 5 min
54.1%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
51.1%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 12:02 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 11:07 | Neutral | Jack McBain |