Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.9% vs 49.4%). Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 49.9% vs Scheifele 49.5% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 68.4%
Defensive zone
McBain 76.5%
Neutral zone
McBain 54.0%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
McBain
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
McBain
Scheifele
Last 6: McBain 4-2 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
2
McBain
Scheifele
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
2
0
McBain
Scheifele
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
1
0
McBain
Scheifele
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (424)
48.7% (981)
+2.5%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
53.2% (250)
-7.0%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (22)
43.2% (37)
-15.9%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. McBain is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (143).
McBain shoots left. Scheifele is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (925).
Home / Away
McBain
Scheifele
Home
53.6% (235)
50.0% (672)
Away
46.0% (224)
48.8% (596)
By Period
McBain
Scheifele
P1
48.6%
51.4%
P2
50.9%
45.1%
P3
50.0%
51.9%
Final 5 min
55.1%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
49.9%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 16:10 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 3 | 14:33 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 3 | 08:04 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 1 | 09:47 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 19:27 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 08:20 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |