Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). McBain wins 44.5% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 45.9% vs Scheifele 48.3% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Scheifele leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 62.7%
Defensive zone
McBain 76.0%
Neutral zone
McBain 60.9%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 58.6%
58.6%
41.4%
McBain
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
McBain
Scheifele
Last 10: McBain 3-7 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
5
McBain
Scheifele
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
McBain
Scheifele
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
1
0
McBain
Scheifele
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (568)
48.1% (1,045)
-1.8%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
48.6% (181)
-11.1%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (74)
44.4% (27)
-6.6%
On power play, Scheifele has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. McBain is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (209).
McBain shoots left. Scheifele is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (892).
Home / Away
McBain
Scheifele
Home
50.6% (330)
52.7% (630)
Away
39.7% (320)
43.5% (623)
By Period
McBain
Scheifele
P1
45.4%
50.3%
P2
44.5%
46.8%
P3
45.7%
47.5%
Final 5 min
48.0%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
45.2%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2024 | 1 | 14:32 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 1 | 05:24 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 3 | 14:44 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 3 | 08:16 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 3 | 01:28 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 2 | 12:57 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 1 | 05:16 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 00:44 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 14:47 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 05:33 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 01:52 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 12:07 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |