Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. McBain wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Rasmussen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 50.9% vs Rasmussen 47.8% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 67.4%
Defensive zone
McBain 67.7%
Neutral zone
McBain 73.0%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 67.4%
67.4%
32.6%
McBain
Rasmussen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
McBain
Rasmussen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
2
0
McBain
Rasmussen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Rasmussen
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (545)
46.8% (248)
+5.3%
Power Play
57.1% (14)
62.5% (8)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (46)
43.8% (16)
-6.8%
On penalty kill, Rasmussen has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rasmussen shoots left. McBain is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (349).
McBain shoots left. Rasmussen is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
McBain
Rasmussen
Home
52.2% (289)
50.0% (98)
Away
50.0% (316)
45.4% (174)
By Period
McBain
Rasmussen
P1
52.6%
40.2%
P2
53.6%
55.8%
P3
47.1%
43.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
51.1%
Rasmussen
32.0%▼
43.0%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 05:02 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 02:09 | Offensive | Jack McBain |