Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Rasmussen on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 49.9% vs Rasmussen 47.6% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rasmussen 56.8%
Defensive zone
McBain 58.0%
Neutral zone
Rasmussen 56.9%
Result
Michael Rasmussen favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
McBain
Rasmussen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
McBain
Rasmussen
Last 7: McBain 3-4 Rasmussen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rasmussen
0
1
McBain
Rasmussen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
2
0
McBain
Rasmussen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rasmussen
1
3
McBain
Rasmussen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Rasmussen
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (424)
47.3% (184)
+3.9%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
44.4% (9)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (22)
0.0% (3)
+27.3%
On penalty kill, McBain has a +27.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rasmussen shoots left. McBain is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (316).
McBain shoots left. Rasmussen is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (131).
Home / Away
McBain
Rasmussen
Home
53.6% (235)
42.3% (104)
Away
46.0% (224)
51.1% (92)
By Period
McBain
Rasmussen
P1
48.6%
47.2%
P2
50.9%
42.9%
P3
50.0%
49.2%
Final 5 min
55.1%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
49.9%
Rasmussen
32.0%▼
43.0%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 09:35 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 02:24 | Neutral | Michael Rasmussen |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 15:54 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 13:01 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael Rasmussen |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 02:41 | Offensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael Rasmussen |