Scouting Report
Michael Rasmussen holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. McBain wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Rasmussen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 44.7% vs Rasmussen 50.8% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rasmussen 66.8%
Defensive zone
McBain 55.6%
Neutral zone
McBain 53.7%
Result
Michael Rasmussen favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
McBain
Rasmussen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
McBain
Rasmussen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
1
0
McBain
Rasmussen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rasmussen
0
1
McBain
Rasmussen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Rasmussen
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (675)
50.8% (333)
-5.5%
Power Play
50.0% (16)
60.7% (28)
-10.7%
Penalty Kill
37.6% (149)
45.9% (37)
-8.3%
On power play, Rasmussen has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rasmussen shoots left. McBain is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (502).
McBain shoots left. Rasmussen is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (246).
Home / Away
McBain
Rasmussen
Home
45.5% (437)
51.4% (212)
Away
42.4% (403)
50.5% (186)
By Period
McBain
Rasmussen
P1
43.5%
54.5%
P2
44.0%
43.4%
P3
45.0%
54.2%
OT
33.3%
75.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
44.0%
Rasmussen
32.0%▼
43.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2022 | 2 | 09:00 | Neutral | Michael Rasmussen |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 14:40 | Offensive | Jack McBain |