Scouting Report
Mikael Granlund holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 46.7% vs Granlund 48.5% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 63.3%
Defensive zone
McBain 62.8%
Neutral zone
McBain 50.4%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
McBain
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
McBain
Granlund
Last 8: McBain 4-4 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
0
1
McBain
Granlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
4
1
McBain
Granlund
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Granlund
0
2
McBain
Granlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (2,298)
48.5% (6,718)
-0.5%
Power Play
49.0% (51)
52.7% (748)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (308)
43.6% (635)
-7.9%
On penalty kill, Granlund has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. McBain is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,667).
McBain shoots left. Granlund is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,142).
Home / Away
McBain
Granlund
Home
49.0% (1,359)
50.8% (3,884)
Away
44.0% (1,298)
46.3% (4,217)
By Period
McBain
Granlund
P1
46.7%
48.7%
P2
47.5%
48.7%
P3
45.6%
48.2%
OT
37.5%
44.1%
Final 5 min
48.8%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
46.6%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2024 | 1 | 09:24 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 2 | 05:24 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Nov 21, 2022 | OT | 03:48 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 11:51 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 10:40 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 10:27 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 15:44 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 15:36 | Defensive | Jack McBain |