Scouting Report
Mikael Granlund holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McBain wins 28.8% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 41.9% vs Granlund 47.4% (-13.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 65.4%
Defensive zone
Granlund 60.5%
Neutral zone
Granlund 64.7%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 62.2%
37.8%
62.2%
McBain
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
McBain
Granlund
Last 5: McBain 3-2 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
3
0
McBain
Granlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Granlund
0
2
McBain
Granlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
37.2% (86)
47.7% (1,001)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
17.6% (17)
40.2% (132)
-22.6%
On penalty kill, Granlund has a +22.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. McBain is 28.8% vs left-shot opponents (59).
McBain shoots left. Granlund is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (738).
Home / Away
McBain
Granlund
Home
33.8% (68)
45.9% (582)
Away
34.3% (35)
48.4% (624)
By Period
McBain
Granlund
P1
40.6%
48.6%
P2
40.5%
46.7%
P3
20.6%
46.9%
Final 5 min
35.7%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
52.0%▲
49.5%
34.0%
Granlund
56.0%▲
43.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 11:51 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 10:40 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 10:27 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 15:44 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 15:36 | Defensive | Jack McBain |