Scouting Report
Mikael Granlund holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. McBain wins 45.6% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 45.9% vs Granlund 47.0% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 51.7%
Defensive zone
Granlund 52.6%
Neutral zone
Granlund 50.7%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
McBain
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
McBain
Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McBain
Granlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (568)
46.7% (885)
-0.4%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
44.9% (69)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (74)
49.0% (98)
-11.2%
On penalty kill, Granlund has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. McBain is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (441).
McBain shoots left. Granlund is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (745).
Home / Away
McBain
Granlund
Home
50.6% (330)
51.1% (495)
Away
39.7% (320)
42.9% (557)
By Period
McBain
Granlund
P1
45.4%
49.9%
P2
44.5%
46.4%
P3
45.7%
44.3%
Final 5 min
48.0%
42.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
45.2%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2024 | 1 | 09:24 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 15, 2023 | 2 | 05:24 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |