Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Sundqvist on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 49.9% vs Sundqvist 46.1% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Sundqvist leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
McBain 58.2%
Defensive zone
Sundqvist 67.4%
Neutral zone
Sundqvist 59.3%
Result
Oskar Sundqvist favored at 59.8%
40.2%
59.8%
McBain
Sundqvist
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
McBain
Sundqvist
Last 7: McBain 3-4 Sundqvist
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
2
0
McBain
Sundqvist
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
2
3
McBain
Sundqvist
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
1
4
McBain
Sundqvist
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Sundqvist
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (424)
45.0% (500)
+6.2%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
54.5% (22)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (22)
46.0% (50)
-18.7%
On penalty kill, Sundqvist has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sundqvist shoots right. McBain is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (143).
McBain shoots left. Sundqvist is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (425).
Home / Away
McBain
Sundqvist
Home
53.6% (235)
45.5% (255)
Away
46.0% (224)
45.4% (317)
By Period
McBain
Sundqvist
P1
48.6%
40.9%
P2
50.9%
46.9%
P3
50.0%
48.4%
Final 5 min
55.1%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
49.9%
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 03:27 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 2 | 09:03 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 1 | 01:01 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 03:03 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 03:04 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 03:23 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 1 | 19:12 | Offensive | Jack McBain |