Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Sundqvist on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McBain wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Sundqvist shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 50.9% vs Sundqvist 47.6% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sundqvist 50.3%
Defensive zone
Sundqvist 76.9%
Neutral zone
Sundqvist 59.7%
Result
Oskar Sundqvist favored at 58.5%
41.5%
58.5%
McBain
Sundqvist
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
McBain
Sundqvist
Last 9: McBain 3-6 Sundqvist
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
0
3
McBain
Sundqvist
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
0
1
McBain
Sundqvist
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
3
2
McBain
Sundqvist
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Sundqvist
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (545)
46.8% (301)
+5.3%
Power Play
57.1% (14)
80.0% (10)
-22.9%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (46)
43.5% (85)
-6.5%
On power play, Sundqvist has a +22.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sundqvist shoots right. McBain is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (256).
McBain shoots left. Sundqvist is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Home / Away
McBain
Sundqvist
Home
52.2% (289)
46.0% (189)
Away
50.0% (316)
47.8% (207)
By Period
McBain
Sundqvist
P1
52.6%
44.7%
P2
53.6%
47.6%
P3
47.1%
48.6%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
51.1%
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2026 | 3 | 08:34 | Offensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 2 | 14:16 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Jan 9, 2026 | 1 | 12:18 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 01:39 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 18:10 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 18:06 | Offensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 17:57 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 16:45 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 13:43 | Offensive | Oskar Sundqvist |