Scouting Report
Pierre-Luc Dubois holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). McBain wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Dubois shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 44.7% vs Dubois 49.0% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Dubois leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Dubois 81.3%
Defensive zone
McBain 78.5%
Neutral zone
McBain 54.3%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
McBain
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
McBain
Dubois
Last 10: McBain 5-5 Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
1
2
McBain
Dubois
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
3
1
McBain
Dubois
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dubois
1
3
McBain
Dubois
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (675)
48.7% (809)
-3.4%
Power Play
50.0% (16)
50.9% (163)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
37.6% (149)
37.5% (16)
+0.1%
On even strength, Dubois has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. McBain is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (502).
McBain shoots left. Dubois is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (612).
Home / Away
McBain
Dubois
Home
45.5% (437)
50.5% (497)
Away
42.4% (403)
47.3% (491)
By Period
McBain
Dubois
P1
43.5%
49.0%
P2
44.0%
48.2%
P3
45.0%
49.1%
OT
33.3%
71.4%
Final 5 min
43.6%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
44.0%
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 18:17 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 10:29 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 03:44 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 1 | 16:29 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Jan 15, 2023 | 3 | 06:55 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Jan 15, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 1 | 15:26 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 1 | 12:43 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 1 | 12:34 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |