Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.9% vs 49.7%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 49.9% vs Dubois 49.7% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 51.5%
Defensive zone
Dubois 51.2%
Neutral zone
Dubois 51.5%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
McBain
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
McBain
Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
0
2
McBain
Dubois
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
1
0
McBain
Dubois
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (424)
49.8% (1,064)
+1.4%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
46.3% (67)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (22)
53.3% (30)
-26.0%
On penalty kill, Dubois has a +26.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. McBain is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (316).
McBain shoots left. Dubois is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (770).
Home / Away
McBain
Dubois
Home
53.6% (235)
48.3% (582)
Away
46.0% (224)
51.1% (579)
By Period
McBain
Dubois
P1
48.6%
52.0%
P2
50.9%
49.9%
P3
50.0%
46.9%
Final 5 min
55.1%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
49.9%
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2025 | 3 | 14:59 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Feb 9, 2025 | 3 | 14:49 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Feb 9, 2025 | 3 | 02:46 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |