Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 49.9% vs Suter 43.3% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 83.2%
Defensive zone
McBain 76.1%
Neutral zone
McBain 79.4%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 80.4%
80.4%
19.6%
McBain
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
McBain
Suter
Last 5: McBain 4-1 Suter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
2
1
McBain
Suter
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
2
0
McBain
Suter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (424)
42.4% (740)
+8.8%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
48.0% (75)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (22)
37.3% (59)
-10.0%
On penalty kill, Suter has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. McBain is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (316).
McBain shoots left. Suter is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (565).
Home / Away
McBain
Suter
Home
53.6% (235)
41.8% (407)
Away
46.0% (224)
43.3% (467)
By Period
McBain
Suter
P1
48.6%
44.7%
P2
50.9%
41.5%
P3
50.0%
41.9%
Final 5 min
55.1%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
49.9%
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2025 | 3 | 16:30 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 3 | 09:33 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 1 | 06:11 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 07:30 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 3 | 04:02 | Defensive | Jack McBain |