Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.6% vs 46.2%). Look for McBain on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 46.7% vs Suter 46.3% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Suter leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Suter 58.3%
Defensive zone
McBain 59.4%
Neutral zone
McBain 51.9%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
McBain
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
McBain
Suter
Last 10: McBain 5-5 Suter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
3
2
McBain
Suter
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suter
2
3
McBain
Suter
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (2,298)
46.2% (3,208)
+1.8%
Power Play
49.0% (51)
52.9% (278)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (308)
40.3% (303)
-4.6%
On penalty kill, Suter has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. McBain is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,667).
McBain shoots left. Suter is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,386).
Home / Away
McBain
Suter
Home
49.0% (1,359)
46.8% (1,804)
Away
44.0% (1,298)
45.7% (1,985)
By Period
McBain
Suter
P1
46.7%
46.6%
P2
47.5%
46.0%
P3
45.6%
46.1%
OT
37.5%
44.4%
Final 5 min
48.8%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
46.6%
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 19:26 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 3 | 16:30 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 3 | 09:33 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 1 | 06:11 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 07:30 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 3 | 04:02 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 3 | 02:05 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 3 | 16:37 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 3 | 16:28 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 3 | 01:26 | Defensive | Pius Suter |