Scouting Report
Rasmus Kupari holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). McBain wins 42.3% vs right-shot opponents — Kupari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 44.7% vs Kupari 53.7% (-10.6%)
H2H factor
Kupari leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Kupari 79.3%
Defensive zone
McBain 73.1%
Neutral zone
Kupari 52.3%
Result
Rasmus Kupari favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
McBain
Kupari
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
McBain
Kupari
Last 10: McBain 5-5 Kupari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kupari
1
2
McBain
Kupari
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
3
1
McBain
Kupari
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kupari
1
2
McBain
Kupari
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Kupari
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (675)
53.6% (379)
-8.3%
Power Play
50.0% (16)
66.7% (6)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
37.6% (149)
72.2% (18)
-34.6%
On penalty kill, Kupari has a +34.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kupari shoots right. McBain is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (338).
McBain shoots left. Kupari is 58.5% vs left-shot opponents (289).
Home / Away
McBain
Kupari
Home
45.5% (437)
55.5% (245)
Away
42.4% (403)
53.2% (158)
By Period
McBain
Kupari
P1
43.5%
58.8%
P2
44.0%
47.8%
P3
45.0%
57.4%
Final 5 min
43.6%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
44.0%
Kupari
48.0%▼
51.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 02:02 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 01:53 | Offensive | Rasmus Kupari |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 16:22 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 13:25 | Neutral | Rasmus Kupari |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 09:56 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 06:46 | Neutral | Rasmus Kupari |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 06:39 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 04:11 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 02:19 | Offensive | Rasmus Kupari |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 13:47 | Defensive | Rasmus Kupari |