Scouting Report
Rasmus Kupari holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kupari on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). McBain wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Kupari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 46.7% vs Kupari 50.4% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Kupari leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
McBain 58.5%
Defensive zone
McBain 59.9%
Neutral zone
McBain 58.0%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 58.7%
58.7%
41.3%
McBain
Kupari
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
10
(17 meetings)
7
10
McBain
Kupari
Last 10: McBain 4-6 Kupari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kupari
2
5
McBain
Kupari
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
3
1
McBain
Kupari
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kupari
2
4
McBain
Kupari
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Kupari
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (2,298)
50.5% (1,275)
-2.5%
Power Play
49.0% (51)
43.5% (23)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (308)
50.4% (139)
-14.7%
On penalty kill, Kupari has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kupari shoots right. McBain is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (990).
McBain shoots left. Kupari is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,056).
Home / Away
McBain
Kupari
Home
49.0% (1,359)
51.4% (782)
Away
44.0% (1,298)
49.2% (655)
By Period
McBain
Kupari
P1
46.7%
49.9%
P2
47.5%
48.5%
P3
45.6%
52.9%
Final 5 min
48.8%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
46.6%
Kupari
48.0%▼
51.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Rasmus Kupari |
| Jan 24, 2025 | 2 | 08:55 | Offensive | Rasmus Kupari |
| Jan 24, 2025 | 1 | 17:59 | Offensive | Rasmus Kupari |
| Jan 24, 2025 | 1 | 17:52 | Neutral | Rasmus Kupari |
| Jan 24, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 04:53 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 09:59 | Offensive | Rasmus Kupari |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 02:02 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 01:53 | Offensive | Rasmus Kupari |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 16:22 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 13:25 | Neutral | Rasmus Kupari |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 09:56 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 06:46 | Neutral | Rasmus Kupari |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 06:39 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 04:11 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 02:19 | Offensive | Rasmus Kupari |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 13:47 | Defensive | Rasmus Kupari |