Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 49.9% vs McLeod 52.1% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 64.1%
Defensive zone
McLeod 62.7%
Neutral zone
McLeod 53.3%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
McBain
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
McBain
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
1
0
McBain
McLeod
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
McBain
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (424)
52.9% (904)
-1.7%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
57.6% (59)
-11.4%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (22)
49.0% (241)
-21.7%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +21.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. McBain is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (316).
McBain shoots left. McLeod is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (784).
Home / Away
McBain
McLeod
Home
53.6% (235)
51.8% (612)
Away
46.0% (224)
52.9% (592)
By Period
McBain
McLeod
P1
48.6%
55.4%
P2
50.9%
50.8%
P3
50.0%
51.6%
Final 5 min
55.1%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
49.9%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 14:13 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 17:14 | Offensive | Jack McBain |