Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 46.7% vs McLeod 49.6% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
McBain 52.0%
Defensive zone
McBain 55.7%
Neutral zone
McBain 55.7%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
McBain
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
10
(18 meetings)
8
10
McBain
McLeod
Last 10: McBain 6-4 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
McBain
McLeod
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
2
1
McBain
McLeod
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
3
6
McBain
McLeod
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (2,298)
50.4% (3,345)
-2.4%
Power Play
49.0% (51)
51.0% (292)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (308)
44.3% (635)
-8.6%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. McBain is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,667).
McBain shoots left. McLeod is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Home / Away
McBain
McLeod
Home
49.0% (1,359)
50.2% (2,158)
Away
44.0% (1,298)
48.9% (2,114)
By Period
McBain
McLeod
P1
46.7%
50.8%
P2
47.5%
48.4%
P3
45.6%
50.0%
OT
37.5%
37.1%
Final 5 min
48.8%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
46.6%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2025 | 3 | 04:25 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 2 | 05:03 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 2 | 01:18 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 1 | 17:19 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 1 | 06:16 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 1 | 05:58 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 07:50 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 14:13 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 17:14 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 3 | 17:12 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 2 | 05:20 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 2 | 01:45 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 1 | 08:19 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 1 | 04:25 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 3 | 09:15 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 2 | 02:33 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 1 | 04:49 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 1 | 08:42 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |