Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McBain wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Wright shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 50.9% vs Wright 41.4% (+11.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wright 73.7%
Defensive zone
McBain 60.2%
Neutral zone
Wright 54.9%
Result
Shane Wright favored at 66.1%
33.9%
66.1%
McBain
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
McBain
Wright
Last 5: McBain 2-3 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
2
1
McBain
Wright
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wright
0
2
McBain
Wright
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (545)
39.5% (453)
+12.6%
Power Play
57.1% (14)
42.4% (59)
+14.7%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (46)
0.0% (1)
+37.0%
On penalty kill, McBain has a +37.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. McBain is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (256).
McBain shoots left. Wright is 38.8% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Home / Away
McBain
Wright
Home
52.2% (289)
39.5% (286)
Away
50.0% (316)
40.1% (227)
By Period
McBain
Wright
P1
52.6%
39.9%
P2
53.6%
37.1%
P3
47.1%
42.9%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
51.1%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
39.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 06:29 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 02:47 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 2 | 01:31 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 1 | 17:19 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 1 | 01:39 | Offensive | Shane Wright |