Scouting Report
Shane Wright holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. McBain wins 44.5% vs right-shot opponents — Wright shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 45.9% vs Wright 50.3% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wright 57.4%
Defensive zone
McBain 73.8%
Neutral zone
McBain 53.8%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 60.4%
60.4%
39.6%
McBain
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
McBain
Wright
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
1
0
McBain
Wright
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wright
0
2
McBain
Wright
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (568)
52.6% (76)
-6.3%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
20.0% (5)
+17.5%
On power play, McBain has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. McBain is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (209).
McBain shoots left. Wright is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (52).
Home / Away
McBain
Wright
Home
50.6% (330)
58.5% (41)
Away
39.7% (320)
42.5% (40)
By Period
McBain
Wright
P1
45.4%
50.0%
P2
44.5%
46.2%
P3
45.7%
55.6%
Final 5 min
48.0%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
45.2%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 06:38 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 15:03 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 14:55 | Defensive | Jack McBain |