Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 49.9% vs Wright 45.1% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 77.0%
Defensive zone
McBain 80.6%
Neutral zone
McBain 79.9%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 77.7%
77.7%
22.3%
McBain
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
McBain
Wright
Last 5: McBain 5-0 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
4
0
McBain
Wright
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
1
0
McBain
Wright
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (424)
43.9% (758)
+7.3%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
50.7% (67)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (22)
40.0% (5)
-12.7%
On penalty kill, Wright has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. McBain is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (143).
McBain shoots left. Wright is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Home / Away
McBain
Wright
Home
53.6% (235)
46.3% (406)
Away
46.0% (224)
42.7% (424)
By Period
McBain
Wright
P1
48.6%
46.8%
P2
50.9%
42.6%
P3
50.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
55.1%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
49.9%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2025 | 2 | 19:43 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 2 | 10:07 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 2 | 06:18 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 2 | 06:10 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 1 | 19:13 | Offensive | Jack McBain |