Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). McBain wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 44.7% vs Crosby 52.8% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 96.0%
Defensive zone
McBain 57.7%
Neutral zone
Crosby 74.8%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 76.1%
23.9%
76.1%
McBain
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
McBain
Crosby
Last 8: McBain 5-3 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McBain
Crosby
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
1
0
McBain
Crosby
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
3
2
McBain
Crosby
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (675)
52.5% (1,443)
-7.2%
Power Play
50.0% (16)
54.7% (369)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
37.6% (149)
55.9% (34)
-18.3%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. McBain is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (502).
McBain shoots left. Crosby is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,199).
Home / Away
McBain
Crosby
Home
45.5% (437)
53.0% (931)
Away
42.4% (403)
53.0% (915)
By Period
McBain
Crosby
P1
43.5%
50.3%
P2
44.0%
55.4%
P3
45.0%
53.3%
OT
33.3%
47.4%
Final 5 min
43.6%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
44.0%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2023 | 2 | 12:55 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 1 | 07:44 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 1 | 03:27 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 04:46 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 00:59 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 16:15 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 16:10 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 04:35 | Defensive | Jack McBain |