Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. McBain wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 50.9% vs Crosby 55.5% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 73.2%
Defensive zone
McBain 70.6%
Neutral zone
McBain 51.4%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
McBain
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
McBain
Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
McBain
Crosby
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
1
0
McBain
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (545)
53.7% (984)
-1.6%
Power Play
57.1% (14)
64.7% (241)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (46)
64.3% (14)
-27.3%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +27.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. McBain is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (349).
McBain shoots left. Crosby is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (879).
Home / Away
McBain
Crosby
Home
52.2% (289)
56.9% (649)
Away
50.0% (316)
54.9% (590)
By Period
McBain
Crosby
P1
52.6%
55.8%
P2
53.6%
53.2%
P3
47.1%
58.7%
OT
50.0%
54.2%
Final 5 min
54.1%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
51.1%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 12:06 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 07:01 | Defensive | Jack McBain |