Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. McBain wins 42.3% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 44.7% vs Stamkos 53.4% (-9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 54.5%
Defensive zone
McBain 85.3%
Neutral zone
McBain 71.6%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 75.0%
75.0%
25.0%
McBain
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
McBain
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
McBain
Stamkos
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
McBain
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (675)
55.3% (628)
-10.0%
Power Play
50.0% (16)
55.1% (216)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
37.6% (149)
40.2% (87)
-2.6%
On even strength, Stamkos has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. McBain is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (338).
McBain shoots left. Stamkos is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (659).
Home / Away
McBain
Stamkos
Home
45.5% (437)
55.5% (499)
Away
42.4% (403)
51.9% (432)
By Period
McBain
Stamkos
P1
43.5%
50.7%
P2
44.0%
53.8%
P3
45.0%
55.9%
OT
33.3%
87.5%
Final 5 min
43.6%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
44.0%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 17:00 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 09:11 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 18:49 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |