Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.9% vs 49.9%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 49.9% vs Stamkos 49.9% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 67.1%
Defensive zone
McBain 74.7%
Neutral zone
McBain 55.2%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 59.4%
59.4%
40.6%
McBain
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
McBain
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
McBain
Stamkos
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McBain
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
McBain
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (424)
49.3% (670)
+1.9%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
53.7% (121)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (22)
33.3% (3)
-6.0%
On power play, Stamkos has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. McBain is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (143).
McBain shoots left. Stamkos is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (610).
Home / Away
McBain
Stamkos
Home
53.6% (235)
54.0% (400)
Away
46.0% (224)
45.7% (394)
By Period
McBain
Stamkos
P1
48.6%
48.6%
P2
50.9%
54.5%
P3
50.0%
45.4%
Final 5 min
55.1%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
49.9%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.9%