Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). McBain wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 50.9% vs Trocheck 56.0% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 58.3%
Defensive zone
McBain 62.3%
Neutral zone
McBain 63.5%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 60.7%
60.7%
39.3%
McBain
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
McBain
Trocheck
Last 9: McBain 4-5 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
4
0
McBain
Trocheck
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
4
McBain
Trocheck
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
McBain
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (545)
57.8% (626)
-5.7%
Power Play
57.1% (14)
63.6% (151)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (46)
44.0% (141)
-7.0%
On penalty kill, Trocheck has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. McBain is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (256).
McBain shoots left. Trocheck is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
McBain
Trocheck
Home
52.2% (289)
54.4% (390)
Away
50.0% (316)
58.3% (528)
By Period
McBain
Trocheck
P1
52.6%
56.4%
P2
53.6%
58.7%
P3
47.1%
54.8%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
54.1%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
51.1%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2026 | 3 | 11:50 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 12:38 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 16:40 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 14:25 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 10:31 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 07:59 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 00:27 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 12:54 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 06:36 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |